The Xi-Putin honeymoon is over-now it’s time to make the China-Russia marriage succeed long term 20160302

 

 

 

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By Jeff J. Brown

Pictured above: outside of Eurangloland, these two presidents are the hopes and dreams of a fairer, more just world. Now, they’ve got to make sure their excellent working relationship transcends their eventual retirement, so that the China-Russia marriage will last for the rest of the 21st century. (Image by politrussia.com)


 

 

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The Moscow-Beijing Express
Crosslinked with The Saker: www.thesaker.is/21262

You can listen to a reading of this article, by Jeff J. Brown, below:

[dropcap]F[/dropcap]or much of Xi Jinping’s first two and a half years as president of China, his relationship with Russian President Vladimir Putin was high profile and incredibly dynamic. Without going into the lengthy list of accomplishments that these two world statesmen achieved 2013-2015, it is safe to say that their proactive cooperation in almost every conceivable field: finance, banking, commerce, trade, military, intelligence, investment, science & technology, research & development – even down to the mundane, but symbolically important education, culture and tourism – has fundamentally changed the way the world works.

This synergy has been and continues to be for the betterment of the Moral Majority, those 85% of the world’s peoples, mostly dark skinned, who have suffered and continue to fight against Western racism and capitalism, which together, impose upon all of us an endless stream of imperialism, colonization, fascism, war and false flags. Thus no surprises, that this alliance has also dramatically focused the strategies and tactics of evil Eurangloland (US-NATO, EU, Australia and New Zealand), compared to just three or four years ago.

President Putin taking Russia out of the claws of Western vultures, then reviving and returning his proud people to the geopolitical superpower table was one thing. At the same time, China’s Communist Party continued Mao Zedong’s incredibly successful socioeconomic development to dizzying, 21st century heights; that was another. By themselves, Western empire confidently planned for continued world tyranny and colonial exploitation, hoping to divide these two historical planetary giants, as was done in 1960, with the devastatingly destructive Sino-Soviet split.

Xi and Putin have fundamentally changed all that. What is now overlooked is how fast this new century, Sino-Russian marriage coalesced around these two leaders. While not quite a shotgun wedding, these two visionaries clearly saw the need to cooperate, in the face of the West’s relentless onslaught, and they had the determination to make it work, which is what a successful marriage is all about.

The Xi-Putin-China-Russia honeymoon lasted about two years, which is remarkable, really. It’s fun and exciting to sign hundreds of billions in gas and oil deals, announce banking integration and ruble-yuan trade tranches; plan high speed rail, aerospace and infrastructure projects; schedule buying and selling top notch military equipment and agricultural products; tout expanding a whole panoply of traded goods, ink investment deals, get their respective intelligence and militaries to shake hands and talk to each other (this, after 50 years of official hostility), supporting each other in the United Nations Security Council – that was the honeymoon and like all nascent marriages, it was the easy part.

The symbolic culmination of their relationship, as countries and leaders, was when they were each other’s guest of honor at their respective 70th anniversary, victory over fascism parades in 2015, first in Moscow on May 9th and then in Beijing on September 3rd. Using the marriage analogy, these were the big family wedding banquets at their respective homes. With 99% of the West’s leaders boycotting these two very public and powerful statements to the world, it was official: Russia and China are standing tall, proud and defiant against Eurangloland.

Now, like any marriage, the warm glow and idealism of the honeymoon are over and the hard, day in-day out work comes. Western empire was more than happy to make it challenging for these two new allies. First came the 2014, genocidal machinations in the Ukraine, which in fact affected both countries, since China had a long and deep economic and trade relationship there, going back into the 1980s. This crime against humanity is, of course, ongoing. Both countries experienced false flags, one airplane full of people gone missing (MH370) and one shot down (MH17), making geopolitical life difficult for them, but for different reasons.

At the same time, Uncle Sam was announcing to the world that he was going to follow through on pivoting 60% of its deep water navy off the coast of China (and effectively, Eastern Pacific Russia). This was and is being amped up into routinely challenging China’s South Sea islands, in the air and on the high seas, while the US bribes, bullies, extorts and blackmails its regional allies to join the fray.

In the meantime, US/NATO continued its plans to undermine Russia, by trying to bring down its historical ally in the Middle East, Syria. This has the added benefit of also making things difficult for two other common allies in the region, Iran and Hezbollah. It is no accident that within hours of America’s farcical and illegal, yet deeply cruel sanctions being lifted on Iran, President Xi was in Tehran meeting with Iran’s leaders, President Hassan Rouhani and Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. You can bet that Syria was a major point of geopolitical discussion.

Earlier news that China already had a significant, supporting military presence in Syria, to aid Russia, is apparently not true or at best, exaggerated. But, China has already started construction of a military base in Djibouti, joining Western installations already there. It is understood that the US had to close one of its two bases there, to make room for the People’s Liberation Army (PLA), which must be especially galling to Uncle Sam. But, the world has changed. I would be willing to speculate that Djibouti would not have insisted on booting out that division of U.S. Marines, if China and Russia were not such close allies. Why? As with all alliances, the military clout of each country is burnished, with the world knowing they are brothers-in-arms. The fact that it is well known in military circles that Russia’s and China’s two Red Armies are the only ones that the West truly fears, just adds to the aura.

Like Djibouti, would Russia have gone into Syria, without China’s back? Would Baba Beijing be confidently telling America that if Western empire wants a war over the South China Sea, then “bring it on”, without Russia peering over America’s shoulders?

Since the September 3rd Beijing parade, all of those highly publicized face-to-face meetings and phone calls between Putin and Xi are not being reported. However, it is safe to assume that Putin’s and Xi’s offices are in daily communication on everything they signed and agreed to during their honeymoon, and that these two leaders are staying on top of bilateral and common geopolitical developments.

We also get to enjoy the spectacle of US Secretary of State John Kerry, going a hard fought round in the diplomatic boxing ring with Russian Minister of Foreign Affairs, Sergei Lavrov. Then, with no rest for the wicked, he is having to turn right back around and judo wrestle with China’s Minister of Foreign Affairs, Wang Yi. You can bet your bottom ruble or renminbi that these two formidable negotiators’ offices are working together closely, sharing notes and advice, on their Eurangloland portfolios. Knowledge is power and this diplomatic cooperation just makes it that much more difficult and vexing for the imperial West, which is normally used to having the upper hand in all geopolitical situations.

China has a huge presence around the world, over 50,000,000 overseas Chinese, as well as hundreds of billions in investment and development projects in Africa, Latin America, the Middle East, Asia and Oceania. That represents a massive data bank of human intelligence for China and its allies, Russia included. Russia has a strong human intelligence presence in Europe, North America and across its southern Asian flank. We can safely assume there is reciprocal synergy and note sharing in this department. Ditto, satellite and signal intelligence. Both countries alone are equal to anything that Eurangloland can throw at them. Together, the whole balance of power in the world of spydom has fundamentally been shifted away from the West, since Putin’s and Xi’s initiatives.

This is what marriage is all about. It’s a hard job, 24/7, slogging time and a half, in addition to your day job, to keep it going, functioning and satisfying. Nothing flashy, just working at it patiently, making accommodations, compromising and learning from mistakes. Marriages last long term, when there is a firm conviction to honor the terms of the contract that both sides signed on public record, hell or high water.

The big question at this point is what happens to this marriage, after Presidents Putin and Xi step down from their pinnacles of power, and turn their countries’ reins over to their successors. For Putin, his current term expires in 2018, but he can run again, and stay in the presidency until 2024. Xi’s ten-year term expires in 2023. Thus, Planet Earth’s 85% Moral Majority appears to have some breathing room for the next seven years or so.

But long term, these two inspiring leaders of the world’s oppressed will eventually retire. All great leaders and heroes must eventually step down and fade away, to live on in history books. The Chinese are experts at visionary, long term planning, with a rolling, 10-year national budget plan and stated socioeconomic goals going out to 2050. Historically, the Russians have shown themselves to be a patient and enduring lot, especially in times of distress and when their survival is on the line.

With China’s democratic dictatorship of the people, control over the means of production and the Communist Party of China being in the dawn of its Red Dynasty, the degree of comfort that this marriage partner will stick to its commitments long term, is much higher. As we have seen recently in Venezuela and Argentina, where there is the possibility of serious change in who governs the country, radical departures in the way national and international business is conducted can happen, often for the worse. Where people can vote, history shows that they eventually want change, the old “grass is greener on the other side” delusion, even if it ultimately is to their harm.

Russia has its Atlantic Integrationists, who would be happy to turn their country into tomorrow’s Argentina. In the next eight years, can Putin and the Eurasian Sovereigntists, who are aligned with China, come up with a structure or means to prevent, or at least seriously frustrate attempts by insiders and elites, to return Russia to Western serfdom? This is probably the most important question that will help decide the fate of humanity in the years to come. If there is a second Russia-China split, like what happened in 1960, our species may not survive the divorce this time.

Now, in the day to day drudgery of making China’s and Russia’s marriage continue to succeed, it may not be Putin and Xi who are meeting face to face and talking on the phone. But, for the sake of the human race’s aspirations for peace and social justice, let’s hope the hundreds of members of their respective teams are in fact talking and planning about keeping their vows, for decades to come, regardless of who their presidents may be.

 

Why and How China works: With a Mirror to Our Own History


ABOUT JEFF BROWN

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JEFF J. BROWN, Editor, China Rising, and Senior Editor & China Correspondent, Dispatch from Beijing, The Greanville Post

Jeff J. Brown is a geopolitical analyst, journalist, lecturer and the author of The China Trilogy. It consists of 44 Days Backpacking in China – The Middle Kingdom in the 21st Century, with the United States, Europe and the Fate of the World in Its Looking Glass (2013); Punto Press released China Rising – Capitalist Roads, Socialist Destinations (2016); and for Badak Merah, Jeff authored China Is Communist, Dammit! – Dawn of the Red Dynasty (2017). As well, he published a textbook, Doctor WriteRead’s Treasure Trove to Great English (2015). Jeff is a Senior Editor & China Correspondent for The Greanville Post, where he keeps a column, Dispatch from Beijing and is a Global Opinion Leader at 21st Century. He also writes a column for The Saker, called the Moscow-Beijing Express. Jeff writes, interviews and podcasts on his own program, China Rising Radio Sinoland, which is also available on YouTube, Stitcher Radio, iTunes, Ivoox and RUvid. Guests have included Ramsey Clark, James Bradley, Moti Nissani, Godfree Roberts, Hiroyuki Hamada, The Saker and many others. [/su_spoiler]

Jeff can be reached at China Rising, je**@br***********.com, Facebook, Twitter, Wechat (Jeff_Brown-44_Days) and Whatsapp: +86-13823544196.

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